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Three-quarters of Earth’s land became permanently drier in last three decades: UN
Published
2 years agoon

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia – Even as dramatic water-related disasters such as floods and storms intensified in some parts of the world, more than three-quarters of Earth’s land became permanently drier in recent decades, UN scientists warned today in a stark new analysis.
Some 77.6% of Earth’s land experienced drier conditions during the three decades leading up to 2020 compared to the previous 30-year period, according to the landmark report from the UN Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD).
Over the same period, drylands expanded by about 4.3 million km2 – an area nearly a third larger than India, the world’s 7th largest country – and now cover 40.6% of all land on Earth (excluding Antarctica).
In recent decades some 7.6% of global lands – an area larger than Canada – were pushed across aridity thresholds (i.e. from non-drylands to drylands, or from less arid dryland classes to more arid classes).
Most of these areas have transitioned from humid landscapes to drylands, with dire implications for agriculture, ecosystems, and the people living there.
And the research warns that, if the world fails to curb greenhouse gas emissions, another 3% of the world’s humid areas will become drylands by the end of this century.
In high greenhouse gas emissions scenarios, expanding drylands are forecast across the Midwestern United States, central Mexico, northern Venezuela, north-eastern Brazil, south-eastern Argentina, the entire Mediterranean Region, the Black Sea coast, large parts of southern Africa, and southern Australia.
The report, The Global Threat of Drying Lands: Regional and global aridity trends and future projections, was launched at the 16th conference of UNCCD’s nearly 200 Parties in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (COP16), the largest UN land conference to date, and the first UNCCD COP to be held in the Middle East, a region profoundly affected by impacts from aridity.
“This analysis finally dispels an uncertainty that has long surrounded global drying trends,” says Ibrahim Thiaw, UNCCD Executive Secretary. “For the first time, the aridity crisis has been documented with scientific clarity, revealing an existential threat affecting billions around the globe.”
“Unlike droughts—temporary periods of low rainfall—aridity represents a permanent, unrelenting transformation,” he adds. “Droughts end. When an area’s climate becomes drier, however, the ability to return to previous conditions is lost. The drier climates now affecting vast lands across the globe will not return to how they were and this change is redefining life on Earth.”
The report by UNCCD Science-Policy Interface (SPI) — the UN body for assessing the science of land degradation and drought — points to human-caused climate change as the primary driver of this shift. Greenhouse gas emissions from electricity generation, transport, industry and land use changes warm the planet and other human activities warm the planet and affect rainfall, evaporation and plant life, creating the conditions that increase aridity.
Global aridity index (AI) data track these conditions and reveal widespread change over the decades.
Aridification hotspots
Areas particularly hard-hit by the drying trend include almost all of Europe (95.9% of its land), parts of the western United States, Brazil, parts of Asia (notably eastern Asia), and central Africa.
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Parts of the Western United States and Brazil: Significant drying trends, with water scarcity and wildfires becoming perennial hazards.
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Mediterranean and Southern Europe: Once considered agricultural breadbaskets, these areas face a stark future as semi-arid conditions expand.
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Central Africa and parts of Asia: Biologically megadiverse areas are experiencing ecosystem degradation and desertification, endangering countless species.
By contrast, less than a quarter of the planet’s land (22.4%) experienced wetter conditions, with areas in the central United States, Angola’s Atlantic coast, and parts of Southeast Asia showing some gains in moisture.
The overarching trend, however, is clear: drylands are expanding, pushing ecosystems and societies to suffer from aridity’s life-threatening impacts.
The report names South Sudan and Tanzania as nations with the largest percentage of land transitioning to drylands, and China as the country experiencing the largest total area shifting from non-drylands into drylands.
For the 2.3 billion people – well over 25% of the world’s population – living in the expanding drylands, this new normal requires lasting, adaptive solutions. Aridity-related land degradation, known as desertification, represents a dire threat to human well-being and ecological stability.
And as the planet continues to warm, report projections in the worst-case scenario suggest up to 5 billion people could live in drylands by the century’s end, grappling with depleted soils, dwindling water resources, and the diminishment or collapse of once-thriving ecosystems.
Forced migration is one of aridity’s most visible consequences. As land becomes uninhabitable, families and entire communities facing water scarcity and agricultural collapse often have no choice but to abandon their homes, leading to social and political challenges worldwide. From the Middle East to Africa and South Asia, millions are already on the move—a trend set to intensify in coming decades.
Aridity’s devastating impact
The effects of rising aridity are cascading and multifaceted, touching nearly every aspect of life and society, the report says.
It warns that one fifth of all land could experience abrupt ecosystem transformations from rising aridity by the end of the century, causing dramatic shifts (such as forests becoming grasslands and other changes) and leading to extinctions among many of the world’s plants, animals and other life.
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Aridity is considered the world’s largest single driver behind the degradation of agricultural systems, affecting 40% of Earth’s arable lands
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Rising aridity has been blamed for a 12% decline in gross domestic product (GDP) recorded for African countries between 1990–2015
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More than two thirds of all land on the planet (excluding Greenland and Antarctica) is projected to store less water by the end of the century, if greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise even modestly
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Aridity is considered one of the world’s five most important causes of land degradation (along with land erosion, salinization, organic carbon loss and vegetation degradation)
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Rising aridity in the Middle East has been linked to the region’s more frequent and larger sand and dust storms
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Increasing aridity is expected to play a role in larger and more intense wildfires in the climate-altered future—not least because of its impacts on tree deaths in semi-arid forests and the consequent growing availability of dry biomass for burning
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Rising aridity’s impacts on poverty, water scarcity, land degradation and insufficient food production have been linked to increasing rates of sickness and death globally —especially among children and women
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Rising aridity and drought play a key role in increasing human migration around the world—particularly in the hyper-arid and arid areas of southern Europe, the Middle East and North Africa and southern Asia.
Report marks a turning point
For years, documenting the rise of aridity proved a challenge, the report states. Its long-term nature and the intricate interplay of factors such as rainfall, evaporation, and plant transpiration made analysis difficult. Early studies produced conflicting results, often muddied by scientific caution.
The new report marks a turning point, leveraging advanced climate models and standardized methodologies to deliver a definitive assessment of global drying trends, confirming the inexorable rise of aridity, while providing critical insights into its underlying drivers and potential future trajectory.
Recommendations
The report offers a comprehensive roadmap for tackling aridity, emphasizing both mitigation and adaptation. Among its recommendations:
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Strengthen aridity monitoring
Integrate aridity metrics into existing drought monitoring systems. This approach would enable early detection of changes and help guide interventions before conditions worsen. Platforms like the new Aridity Visual Information Tool provide policymakers and researchers with valuable data, allowing for early warnings and timely interventions. Standardized assessments can enhance global cooperation and inform local adaptation strategies. -
Improve land use practices
Incentivizing sustainable land use systems can mitigate the impacts of rising aridity, particularly in vulnerable regions. Innovative, holistic, sustainable approaches to land management are the focus of another new UNCCD SPI report, Sustainable Land Use Systems: The path to collectively achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, available at https://bit.ly/3ZwkLZ3. It considers how land-use at one location affect others elsewhere, makes resilience to climate change or other shocks a priority, and encourages participation and buy-in by Indigenous and local communities as well as all levels of government. Projects like the Great Green Wall—a land restoration initiative spanning Africa—demonstrate the potential for large-scale, holistic efforts to combat aridity and restore ecosystems, while creating jobs and stabilizing economies. -
Invest in water efficiency
Technologies such as rainwater harvesting, drip irrigation, and wastewater recycling offer practical solutions for managing scarce water resources in dry regions. -
Build resilience in vulnerable communities
Local knowledge, capacity building, social justice and holistic thinking are vital to resilience. Sustainable land use systems encourage decision makers to apply responsible governance, protect human rights (including secure land access) and ensure accountability and transparency. Capacity-building programmes, financial support, education programmes, climate information services and community-driven initiatives empower those most affected by aridity to adapt to changing conditions. Farmers switching to drought-resistant crops or pastoralists adopting more arid-tolerant livestock exemplify incremental adaptation. -
Develop international frameworks and cooperation
The UNCCD’s Land Degradation Neutrality framework provides a model for aligning national policies with international goals, ensuring a unified response to the crisis. National Adaptation Plans must incorporate aridity alongside drought planning to create cohesive strategies that address water and land management challenges. Cross-sectoral collaboration at the global level, facilitated by frameworks like the UNCCD, is essential for scaling solutions.
Comments
“For decades, the world’s scientists have signalled that our growing greenhouse gas emissions are behind global warming. Now, for the first time, a UN scientific body is warning that burning fossil fuels is causing permanent drying across much of the world, too—with potentially catastrophic impacts affecting access to water that could push people and nature even closer to disastrous tipping points. As large tracts of the world’s land become more arid, the consequences of inaction grow increasingly dire and adaptation is no longer optional—it is imperative.” – UNCCD Chief Scientist Barron Orr
“Without concerted efforts, billions face a future marked by hunger, displacement, and economic decline. Yet, by embracing innovative solutions and fostering global solidarity, humanity can rise to meet this challenge. The question is not whether we have the tools to respond—it is whether we have the will to act.” – Nichole Barger, Chair, UNCCD Science-Policy Interface
“The report’s clarity is a wake-up call for policymakers: tackling aridity demands more than just science—it requires a diversity of perspectives and knowledge systems. By weaving Indigenous and local knowledge with cutting-edge data, we can craft stronger, smarter strategies to slow aridity’s advance, mitigate its impacts and thrive in a drying world.” – Sergio Vicente-Serrano, co-lead author of the report and an aridity expert with Spain’s Pyrenean Institute of Ecology
“This report underscores the critical need to address aridity as a defining global challenge of our time. By uniting diverse expertise and leveraging breakthrough technologies, we are not just measuring change—we are crafting a roadmap for resilience. Tackling aridity demands a collaborative vision that integrates innovation, adaptive solutions, and a commitment to securing a sustainable future for all.” – Narcisa Pricope, co-lead author, professor of geosciences and associate vice president for research at Mississippi State University, USA.
“The timeliness of this report cannot be overstated. Rising aridity will reshape the global landscape, challenging traditional ways of life and forcing societies to reimagine their relationship with land and water. As with climate change and biodiversity loss, addressing aridity requires coordinated international action and an unwavering commitment to sustainable development.” – Andrea Toreti, co-lead author and senior scientist, European Commission’s Joint Research Centre
By the Numbers:
Key global trends / projections
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77.6%: Proportion of Earth’s land that experienced drier climates from 1990–2020 compared to the previous 30 years.
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40.6%: Global land mass (excluding Antarctica) classified as drylands, up from 37.5% over the last 30 years.
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4.3 million km²: Humid lands transformed into drylands in the last three decades, an area one-third larger than India
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40%: Global arable land affected by aridity—the leading driver of agricultural degradation.
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30.9%: Global population living in drylands in 2020, up from 22.5% in 1990
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2.3 billion: People living in drylands in 2020, a doubling from 1990, projected to more than double again by 2100 under a worst-case climate change scenario.
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1.35 billion: Dryland inhabitants in Asia—more than half the global total.
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620 million: Dryland inhabitants in Africa—nearly half of the continent’s population.
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9.1%: Portion of Earth’s land classified as hyperarid, including the Atacama (Chile), Sahara (Africa), Namib (Africa), and Gobi (China/Mongolia) deserts.
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23%: Increase in global land at “moderate” to “very high” desertification risk by 2100 under the worst-case emissions scenario
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+8% at “very high” risk
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+5% at “high” risk
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+10% at “moderate” risk
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Environmental degradation
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5: Key drivers of land degradation: Rising aridity, land erosion, salinization, organic carbon loss, and vegetation degradation
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20%: Global land at risk of abrupt ecosystem transformations by 2100 due to rising aridity
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55%: Species (mammals, reptiles, fish, amphibians, and birds) at risk of habitat loss from aridity. Hotspots: (Arid regions): West Africa, Western Australia, Iberian Peninsula; (Humid regions): Southern Mexico, northern Amazon rainforest
Economics
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12%: African GDP decline attributed to aridity, 1990–2015
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16% / 6.7%: Projected GDP losses in Africa / Asia by 2079 under a moderate emissions scenario
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20M tons maize, 21M tons wheat, 19M tons rice: Expected losses in global crop yields by 2040 due to expanding aridity
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50%: Projected drop in maize yields in Kenya by 2050 under a high emissions scenario
Water
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90%: Rainfall in drylands that evaporates back into the atmosphere, leaving 10% for plant growth
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67%: Global land expected to store less water by 2100, even under moderate emission scenarios
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75%: Decline in water availability in the Middle East and North Africa since the 1950s
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40%: Predicted Andean runoff decline by 2100 under a high emissions scenario, threatening water supplies in South America
Health
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55%: Increase in severe child stunting in sub-Saharan Africa under a medium emissions scenario due to combined effects of aridity and climate warming
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Up to 12.5%: Estimated rise in mortality risks during sand and dust storms in China, 2013–2018
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57% / 38%: Increases in fine and coarse atmospheric dust levels, respectively, in the southwestern U.S. by 2100 under worst case climate scenarios
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220%: Projected increase in premature deaths due to airborne dust in the southwestern United States by 2100 under the high-emissions scenario
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160%: Expected rise in hospitalizations linked to airborne dust in the same region
Wildfires and forests
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74%: Expected increase in wildfire-burned areas in California by 2100 under high emission scenarios
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40: Additional annual high fire danger days in Greece by 2100 compared to late 20th century levels
Notes to editors:
Aridity versus drought
Highly arid regions are places in which a persistent, long-term climatic condition lacks available moisture to support most forms of life and atmospheric evaporative demand significantly exceeds rainfall.
Drought, on the other hand, is an anomalous, shorter-term period of water shortage affecting ecosystems and people and often attributed to low precipitation, high temperatures, low air humidity and/or anomalies in wind.
While drought is part of natural climate variability and can occur in almost any climatic regime, aridity is a stable condition for which changes occur over extremely long-time scales under significant forcing.
Media contacts: press@unccd.int
Fragkiska Megaloudi, +30 6945547877 (WhatsApp) fmegaloudi@unccd.int
Gloria Pallares, +34 606 93 1460 gpallares@unccd.int
Terry Collins, +1-416-878-8712 tc@tca.tc
Authors and other experts are available for advance interviews.
The full report, The Global Threat of Drying Lands: Regional and global aridity trends and future projections, is available for media preview at https://www.unccd.int/resources/reports/global-threat-drying-lands-regional-and-global-aridity-trends-and-future
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Nearly 90 mln displaced people face severe climate risks
Published
2 days agoon
November 10, 2026
According to UNHCR’s latest report, No Escape III: Displaced Voices on the Frontlines of the Climate Crisis, three in four forcibly displaced people globally face high to extreme exposure to climate-related hazards. Many have already fled conflict, violence and persecution, only to encounter further threats in places where resources to adapt are limited.
The report features the experiences of eight members of displaced communities, highlighting their resilience and the importance of including their voices in climate-related decisions.
“Refugees face a double injustice. Forced to flee conflicts they did not cause, they are now on the frontlines of a climate crisis they have contributed least to,” said Antón Leis García, UNHCR’s Assistant High Commissioner for Operations.
Climate change is also undermining the prospects for lasting solutions. More than two-thirds of refugees who returned home in the first half of 2026 did so to countries highly vulnerable to climate hazards, raising concerns about the sustainability of their return.
In Syria, where nearly 4 million displaced people have recently returned, declining groundwater levels and severe climate shocks are threatening recovery. Flooding along the Euphrates River in May 2026 damaged homes and forced thousands more people to flee.
Extreme heat poses another growing challenge. By 2050, one in three refugee settlements in sub-Saharan Africa could face at least 100 days of dangerous heat annually. In some settlements in Ethiopia, including Helaweyn, dangerous heat could persist for more than 200 days a year, threatening residents’ health and livelihoods.
Weather-related disasters have triggered more than 255 million internal displacements worldwide over the past decade, equivalent to approximately 70,000 movements a day. In East Africa, severe flooding associated with a very strong El Niño could displace up to 3 million people in Somalia, Kenya, South Sudan and Uganda by the end of 2026, depending on the severity of the floods.
Climate hazards also increase the risk of statelessness. Nearly 90% of the world’s 4.7 million reported stateless people live in countries facing high to extreme exposure to climate risks. Without legal recognition, many struggle to access disaster relief and adaptation support.
Despite these growing threats, fragile and conflict-affected countries receive only around 10% of global climate finance, even though many host large displaced populations and face severe climate impacts. UNHCR says greater investment in adaptation, particularly in areas of return, is essential to support reintegration and make returns safe, voluntary and sustainable.
Displaced people and host communities are already developing climate solutions, including solar-powered water systems in the Sahel, climate-resilient agriculture in Uganda, and land and mangrove restoration in Colombia.
At COP31, UNHCR will urge governments and climate finance institutions to include displaced people in national climate plans, increase long-term adaptation funding for fragile and displacement-affected areas, and support locally led solutions beyond short-term humanitarian assistance.
The agency says the conference, hosted by Türkiye, one of the world’s largest refugee-hosting countries, offers an opportunity to ensure that displaced people and host communities are included in global climate action.
Earlier, Qazinform News Agency reported that the year 2026 could become one of the four warmest years on record, as ocean temperatures continue to rise, glaciers lose ice and global sea levels reach new highs.
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Negotiations are in motion to forge new international principles that will finally hold oil companies accountable for the scars they leave on people and the planet.
Published
3 days agoon
November 10, 2026
By the Witness Radio team
When oil companies pack up after years of drilling, the pollution, scarred landscapes, and shattered livelihoods often linger long after the last rig is gone.
Communities in oil-producing regions are often left to grapple with poisoned water, rusting skeletons of abandoned infrastructure, and lost income from farming, fishing, and other ways of life. Meanwhile, the question of who will foot the bill for restoring the environment hangs in the air.
Now, three international civil society organizations are raising their voices, demanding that oil and gas companies take real responsibility when they shut down operations or hand over their assets to new investors.
The Stakeholder Democracy Network (SDN), the Interamerican Association for Environmental Defense (AIDA) and the Center for Research on Multinational Corporations (SOMO) have submitted the International Principles for Responsible Divestment from Fossil Fuels to the United Nations Working Group on Business and Human Rights.
These principles arrive at a time when countries are under mounting pressure to break free from coal, oil, and gas in the fight against climate change. Yet the organizations warn that companies must not use this transition as an excuse to abandon communities or leave their mess behind.
“Rapid closure and responsible closure of the fossil fuel industry are not mutually incompatible agendas. Both are vital to achieve climate and environmental justice and a just energy transition,” the principles state.
The proposed standards lay out a clear roadmap for what companies must do before walking away from fossil fuel projects, and what governments should demand in return.
According to the principles, companies are expected to inform communities about plans to close operations or sell assets, including when the changes will happen and what environmental and financial obligations remain outstanding.
They should also involve affected people in decisions about their own future, rather than making choices in secret boardrooms.
“This information must include divestment timelines and modalities, as well as full disclosure of all outstanding environmental and financial liabilities. Companies should proactively create spaces for participation and dialogue, so that affected people, regulators and government authorities receive relevant information and can meaningfully influence corporate decision-making.” The principles further state.
Another key demand is that companies must pay for the harm they have caused, from cleaning up polluted lands and waters to safely dismantling infrastructure and restoring damaged ecosystems.
The organizations are also pushing for companies to compensate those whose livelihoods, health, culture, and communities have suffered. This could mean financial payments, restoring sacred cultural sites, and publicly admitting the harm they have done.
When companies sell off their assets, the principles insist they must ensure that new owners have both the resources and expertise to run operations safely and cover all future closure and restoration costs.
The principles also highlight the fate of workers and communities whose lives depend on oil. They call for new livelihood opportunities, job transition programs, and social safety nets for those facing job loss when the wells run dry.
The principles also place the onus on governments, urging them to ensure oil companies do not walk away from environmental damage or leave obligations unresolved when they shut down or sell off their assets.
They urge states to craft clear, transparent plans for phasing out fossil fuel extraction, with affected communities and workers at the table for every decision that could reshape their lives.
Governments are also expected to overhaul their laws and regulations, closing loopholes that let companies slip away from projects without cleaning up pollution, restoring ecosystems, or compensating those harmed.
“States should ensure that their existing legal and regulatory frameworks related to fossil fuel divestment, including investment laws and treaties, are aligned with these Principles and that these Principles are made obligatory for companies by enshrining them in law and effectively enforcing them.” The 4-page document reads
Before any asset sale or project closure gets the green light, the principles say governments should demand independent environmental and social assessments, plus thorough reviews of infrastructure and decommissioning costs.
They also urge states to ensure companies set aside enough money for environmental clean-up and infrastructure dismantling before approving any closure plans.
When assets change hands, governments should scrutinize whether the new buyers have the money, know-how, and management skills to run the facilities safely and meet all environmental obligations left on the table.
The principles sound the alarm against letting companies hand over assets to brand-new businesses or operators with no track record of safe management, which could leave governments and communities footing the bill when disaster strikes.
They also tackle cases where previous owners have already left a trail of environmental damage. Here, governments should ensure new owners handle the clean-up while protecting affected communities’ right to seek compensation and justice from those who caused the original harm.
The organizations are also pressing governments to publish yearly updates on all proposed, approved, and rejected oil and gas asset sales and project closures, including whether companies have kept their environmental and social promises.
These concerns are painfully clear in Nigeria’s Niger Delta, where decades of oil extraction have left communities battling pollution and the collapse of their livelihoods.
Oil spills have poisoned water sources, ruined farmland, and shattered fishing livelihoods, forcing many residents to bear the high cost of an industry that has reaped enormous profits.
A United Nations Environment Program (UNEP) assessment of Ogoniland in 2017 documented extensive oil contamination and recommended a long-term environmental clean-up.
Meanwhile, some international oil companies that once operated in the region are selling off their stakes to new investors, sparking urgent questions about who will shoulder responsibility for pollution and other lingering obligations.
In March 2025, Shell completed the sale of its Nigerian onshore subsidiary, the Shell Petroleum Development Company (SPDC), to Renaissance Africa Energy.
TotalEnergies followed with an agreement announced in January 2026 to sell its 10 percent non-operated interest in the Renaissance joint venture’s licenses to the Nigerian consortium Vaaris.
On October 27, 2026, TotalEnergies announced that it had completed the sale for US$800 million.
The company said it would retain its full economic interest in three gas licenses – OML 23, OML 28 and OML 77 – which currently account for 50 percent of Nigeria LNG’s gas supply. The transaction therefore covers its interest in the joint venture’s oil assets, rather than a complete withdrawal from its Nigerian operations.
Civil society organizations are raising doubts about whether these deals offer enough transparency on outstanding environmental damage, clean-up plans, and compensation for the communities left in the wake.
Dr Isaac ‘Asume’ Osuoka, Director of Social Action, said the people living in oil-producing areas should not be forgotten when companies negotiate the sale of their assets.
“This case is about people, not just oil assets. It is about children growing up with poisoned water, families breathing polluted air, and communities losing their health and livelihoods while international oil companies walk away with decades of profits,” Osuoka said.
He insisted that affected communities must not become corporate sacrifice zones and urged TotalEnergies to prove that its exit will not deepen existing human rights abuses.
Mr. Simon Taylor, co-founder of Hawkmoth, also questioned the transparency surrounding the transaction.
Taylor pointed to TotalEnergies’ previous involvement in the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative, arguing that the company should be transparent about the public-interest implications of its asset sale.
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Development finance faces growing scrutiny as industrial livestock farming rapidly spreads across Africa.
Published
3 days agoon
November 9, 2026
By the Witness Radio team.
As investment in large-scale agricultural enterprises surges across Africa, the spotlight is turning to development finance institutions and their power to determine which farming systems thrive and which are left behind.
Multilateral development banks and other financial institutions are playing a bigger role in shaping Africa’s agricultural landscape, funding everything from business models to infrastructure and production systems. Industrial livestock farming stands at the center of heated debate, with experts warning that its rise could sideline smallholder farmers, pastoralist communities, and agroecological food systems.
These pressing concerns took center stage during a webinar hosted by the Stop Financing Factory Farming (S3F) coalition, where participants explored how financing industrial livestock farming in Africa impacts farmers, the environment, climate, and public health.
The S3F Africa Regional Coordinator, Mariann Bassey-Olsson, said financial decisions made by development institutions have consequences beyond the businesses receiving the money.
“Since public money shapes food futures, what banks fund today decides what people eat and their livelihoods,” she said.
She pointed out that Africa’s livestock production is a tapestry of pastoralism, mixed crop-livestock farming, and commercial ventures. She urged that agricultural investment should honor this diversity instead of pushing industrial production as the default path.
“We must strengthen our diverse, locally appropriate and sustainable livestock systems, not replace them with industrial models,” she said.
Miriann also challenged the surge in support for agribusinesses, highlighting the stark contrast with the limited financing that reaches agroecological and community-led food systems.
“Factory farming is a finance story that depends on capital, infrastructure and policies that enable its expansion, yet public and private finance increasingly support agribusinesses while far less reaches agroecological community-led food systems,” she said.
Ms. Lizah Makombore of the University of Vermont said existing patterns of industrial production and consumption are pressuring ecosystems and making it difficult to achieve sustainable development goals.
“Because our food systems play such a monumental role in this crisis, they are now undeniably a growing cause for deep transformation,” she said.
Makombore called for a stronger embrace of agroecological farming, emphasizing that agricultural approaches must be rooted in local cultures, wisdom, and environmental realities.
She also highlighted the alarming decline in soil health and stressed the importance of weaving indigenous knowledge and cultural values into sustainable food systems.
“We therefore need to think about how we can shape the context using our cultural values and how we can reclaim our cosmovision, such as Ubuntu,” she said.
Citing an assessment by the Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination Against Women (CEDAW) on financing for agroecology through the Green Climate Fund, Makombore said 79% of the funding assessed supported factory farming and other non-agroecological agricultural systems.
She added that agroecological systems received 10.3%, while agroecology received 10.6%.
Mr. Michael Farrelly of the Alliance for Food Sovereignty in Africa (AFSA) cautioned that investment figures alone cannot reveal whether farmers are truly gaining control over their production or reaping the rewards of funded businesses and programs.
“More finance doesn’t automatically mean more power or better incomes for farmers,” he
said.
Farrelly pointed to the Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Program (CAADP), the African Union framework guiding agricultural development across member states, as an important influence on investment priorities.
He said the program’s 2026–2035 implementation period has a $100 billion investment target combining public and private financing.
He also referred to regional agricultural policy platforms and summits where governments are seeking to attract private investment into the sector.
Farrelly urged closer scrutiny of the fine print of these investments, especially when they fuel the growth of large commercial agricultural enterprises.
He warned that as corporate agribusinesses gain ground, small-scale producers risk becoming more dependent on commercial buyers, facing mounting debt, and losing their grip on livestock production and marketing.
“The World Bank is helping shape both the businesses and the rules under which they operate. The authors of the report warn that farmers can become more dependent on corporate buyers and debt with less control over their livestock. Some programs aim to reduce the share of people working in agriculture.” He said.
Ms. Nne Nelly Umoren of the Green Leaf Advocacy and Empowerment Center voiced concerns about the hidden social and environmental costs that often accompany large industrial investments, such as fertilizer production.
Citing the Nduruma fertilizer industry, she questioned whether the economic promises of industrial projects truly reflect the realities faced by surrounding communities.
She noted that while such investments are often touted as engines of job creation, increased production, and economic growth, it is crucial to weigh these benefits against the environmental and social burdens local communities’ shoulder.
“They make us believe that investment is for production and for economic growth, food security, and also for the future food of Africa, especially the Nduruma fertilizer,” she said.
“The question behind this is: does industrial growth genuinely improve people’s lives and strengthen food systems? Does it really create economic benefit for investors while transferring environmental and social costs to the local communities?” she asked.
Umoren called for a sharper focus on the lived experiences of communities impacted by industrial projects and a closer look at how the benefits and costs of these investments are shared.
The experts urged that agricultural and development finance should prioritize approaches that empower local food systems and uplift small-scale producers.
They argued that Africa’s food security cannot be achieved through a one-size-fits-all model. Still, they must instead honor the continent’s rich tapestry of farming systems and ecological landscapes.
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Development finance faces growing scrutiny as industrial livestock farming rapidly spreads across Africa.
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Environmental and human rights advocates are urging the world to hold global investors accountable for their actions.
World Food Day 2026: Building healthy diets means reimagining how we grow, share, and enjoy our food.
Teso farmers revamp grapefruit growing
Kiryandongo district, a notorious hotspot for land grabs in Uganda: A bitter land dispute spanning 22 years has left residents landless and food-insecure, while the investor anxiously guards his investment.
Innovative Finance from Canada projects positive impact on local communities.
Over 5000 Indigenous Communities evicted in Kiryandongo District
Petition To Land Inquiry Commission Over Human Rights In Kiryandongo District
Invisible victims of Uganda Land Grabs
Resource Center
- CAN AFRICAN FOOD SYSTEMS THRIVE WITHOUT CHEMICAL FERTILISERS
- Land And Environment Rights In Uganda Experiences From Karamoja And Mid Western Sub Regions
- REPARATORY AND CLIMATE JUSTICE MUST BE AT THE CORE OF COP30, SAY GLOBAL LEADERS AND MOVEMENTS
- LAND GRABS AT GUNPOINT REPORT IN KIRYANDONGO DISTRICT
- THOSE OIL LIARS! THEY DESTROYED MY BUSINESS!
- RESEARCH BRIEF -TOURISM POTENTIAL OF GREATER MASAKA -MARCH 2025
- The Mouila Declaration of the Informal Alliance against the Expansion of Industrial Monocultures
- FORCED LAND EVICTIONS IN UGANDA TRENDS RIGHTS OF DEFENDERS IMPACT AND CALL FOR ACTION
Legal Framework
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MEDIA FOR CHANGE NETWORK1 week agoKiryandongo district, a notorious hotspot for land grabs in Uganda: A bitter land dispute spanning 22 years has left residents landless and food-insecure, while the investor anxiously guards his investment.
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MEDIA FOR CHANGE NETWORK2 weeks agoAfrican faith leaders are raising their voices for reparations as AGRA’s 20-year legacy faces intense scrutiny.
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MEDIA FOR CHANGE NETWORK2 weeks agoStandard Bank faces complaint over sustainability claims linked to East African Oil Pipeline
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MEDIA FOR CHANGE NETWORK2 weeks agoGovt tightens human rights protections in extractive industry
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MEDIA FOR CHANGE NETWORK2 weeks ago149 CSOs and groups demand answers from banks over $3.7bn in EACOP financing
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MEDIA FOR CHANGE NETWORK1 week agoUganda’s drive to expand oil palm farming is stirring unease among rural communities, who worry about the far-reaching effects on their lives and land.
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MEDIA FOR CHANGE NETWORK2 weeks agoStopEACOP Coalition demands disclosure of US$3.7 billion in pipeline financing
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MEDIA FOR CHANGE NETWORK6 days agoThe African Union recognizes farmers’ vital seed rights, yet national laws can still get in the way, creating hurdles for those who depend on these traditions.
