Connect with us

MEDIA FOR CHANGE NETWORK

Trees for Global Benefits: “Climate neutral” burgers in Sweden. Starvation in Uganda

Published

on

The Swedish fast food chain Max Burgers AB claims to have had more than three million trees planted in the tropics. “Planting trees is an effective way to remove carbon dioxide,” the company states on its website. “Since 2018, MAX has been funding trees that capture the equivalent of 110% of our entire value chain’s greenhouse gas emissions.”

But a new investigation by Staffan Lindberg in the Swedish newspaper Aftonbladet reveals that some of the farmers in Uganda who planted trees for Max Burgers carbon credits are now cutting down the trees and making them into charcoal. The farmers faced starvation, because the trees were planted on their farmland.

Max Burgers buys carbon credits from a project in Uganda called Trees for Global Benefits, that has been running since 2003. The project is managed by a Ugandan organisation called Ecotrust.

Under the scheme, farmers plant trees on their land and receive income from the sales of carbon credits. It is certified under the Plan Vivo standard.

According to the Plan Vivo website,

The project operates as a market-based solution that reduces unsustainable exploitation of forest resources and the decline of ecosystem quality, while diversifying and increasing incomes for rural farmers and their families.

In 2013, the project won an award from SEED, which was founded by UNEP, UNDP, and IUCN. In a video produced by SEED, Pauline Nantongo Kalunda, the executive director of Ecotrust, says, “The main objective of this enterprise is to combine carbon sequestration activity with livelihoods improvements.”

Kalunda is on the Board of Trustees of Plan Vivo.

Share

The hunger forest

Lindberg calls the Ecotrust project the “hunger forest”. Ecotrust persuaded farmers to plant trees on land where they grew crops. But the farmers had only small areas of land. When the trees took over the land, the farmers could no longer grow food for their families.

The Aftonbladet investigation is not the first critique of the Trees for Global Benefits project. In 2017, Elina Andersson and Wim Carton from Lund University wrote a study that highlights problems with the project. “Our study shows that there is widespread confusion among farmers about what the project is basically about,” Andersson and Carton write.

Farmers did not know who was buying the carbon credits.

One farmer said,

They do not have many benefits, these carbon trees. They are not easily grown and they take time. I had to replace so many of them because they dried out. They started to dry from the top and then they refused to grow. I wouldn’t plant these trees again, but rather eucalyptus and maybe some fruit trees.

Farmers had to pay the full cost of replacing damaged and dead trees, regardless of whether the trees were damaged by fire, vandalism, insects, or wild animals.

Andersson and Carton write about the “flawed basis on which the local population had the opportunity to make informed decisions regarding participation” in the tree planting project.

Contracts were written in English which few of the villagers speak.

Almost all the farmers they spoke to said they did not know how much compensation they would receive from the project. One farmer told Andersson and Carton that,

People planted trees before they knew how much they would get. And they did not negotiate the price with the buyers. So they don’t know if they got all their money, or if they just got half of it. If you tell prices in terms of percentage, how can an old man understand? They are not giving the correct information. transparency is lacking. Most people don’t even know what they are selling.

Lack of land is a major problem in the project area, Andersson and Carton note, particularly among the poorest households.

“It cannot be ruled out that,” they write, “through the project, poor small farmers risk being locked into a type of land use for a long time that reduces their ability to adapt to deal with temporary crises as well as long-term changes, which in the worst case can mean long-term negative effects on their life situation.”

They also note that payments from Ecotrust are often greatly delayed or not received at all.

In 2019, an article in the Swedish newspaper Dagens Nyheter took a critical look at the Trees for Global Benefits project.

And in 2022, Global Forest Coalition published a report about the project with the title, “A case study on the failures of carbon offsetting”. The researchers spoke to more than 100 community members. They write that,

The clear message from all communities was that the project was not delivering its promised benefits, and participants were growing increasingly bitter and desperate.

The lead author of the report was David Kureeba, a programme officer with Friends of the Earth Uganda.

The report concludes that the Trees for Global Benefits project “is one of a growing number of global greenwashing exercises that are not only failing to reduce the amount of carbon being released into the atmosphere but also inflicting adverse environmental, social, and economic impacts on the local communities involved”.

“A chance to earn money”

Aftenbladet’s journalist Staffan Lindberg and photographer Niclas Hammarström travel to the project area in Uganda. There they find farmers cutting down the trees, to sell them as charcoal.

A farmer called Samuel Byarugaba tells Lindberg that a man from Ecotrust turned up eight years ago. He said Ecotrust could offer the family a chance to earn money.

Samuel signed the contract despite having only two acres of land, and the fact that all his land was being used to grow food. He didn’t receive a copy of the contract. The man from Ecotrust later showed him how to plant the trees, seven metres apart. That was the only education he received about tree planting.

After three years, the trees formed a canopy over the food crops. The trees took the light, the water, and the nutrients. Samuel’s sweet potatoes and bananas died. Nothing could grow under the trees. Samuel, his wife, and 15 children and grandchildren were without food.

He tells Lindberg,

“I used to be something called a model farmer. People came to me to learn about farming and I was proud to show our farm. We had enough food to eat our fill and were able to sell the excess. Now everything disappeared.”

The first payment from Ecotrust should have come in the first year. When it arrived, one year later, it was equivalent to a little more than US$100. Enough for a couple of weeks of food.

Samuel has only received two more payments of the same amount since then. He has been forced to beg from relatives for his family to survive.

Lindberg reports that now he’s cutting all the trees down. He will plant bananas and sweet potatoes again.

“My children have no food”

Rosset Kyampaire is a widow, and mother of four. She has only one acre of land. Ecotrust still persuaded her to sign the contract.

She planted 200 trees on her land. After two years, the beans and cassava withered. After three years, she had no harvest at all.

After eight years, she has received no money from Ecotrust. Instead she got excuses: “This is how white people work,” and “Have patience,” and “It will arrive later this year.”

To survive, she has to work as a day labourer on other people’s farms. She earns less than US$1.5 a day. It’s not enough.

“I am so stressed,” Rosset tells Lindberg. “My children have no food.”

She has already started cutting down the trees. “It’s my only chance,” she says.

Where is the food? Look around, where is it?

Jorum Baslina is a local leader in the village of Kigaaga. He also joined the project. “Ecotrust just wants to grow as many trees as possible,” he tells Lindberg. “They urge us: plant more!”

Jorum says there is no transparency. Ecotrust did not tell the farmers how much they would receive, or why the money has not been paid. He shows Lindberg a contract, written in English, and says that,

Many here can barely write their own names. And almost no one knows English. Why don’t we get the agreement in our own language? And why doesn’t it say how much we should get?

Jorum has acted as a spokesperson for other people involved in Ecotrust’s project. He says that of the 100 farmers he’s in contact with, only six or seven are happy with the project and they had unused land to plant on and were the first to join.

“The rest of us are much poorer than before,” Jorum tells Lindberg. “Almost everyone has started cutting down the trees or is planning to do so. Where is the food? Look around, where is it?”

“We are starving”

Ecotrust came to Herbert Rukundo’s farm nine years ago and promised that the trees would bring money, every year. Herbert tells Lindberg that,

We dreamed of being able to keep the children in school and maybe rebuild the house a little so that it was beautiful, even buying a motorcycle to drive to church. Instead we were forced to starve. Now we’ve chopped it all down and turned it into charcoal.

Last year, Herbert cut down all his trees. Not long afterwards, the coordinator from Ecotrust visited his farm and accused Herbert of breach of contract. The Ecotrust coordinator threatened that if Herbert did not replant all the trees he would have to face the police and prison.

Hubert replied that as things are, “We are starving.”

Hubert tells Lindberg that Ecotrust didn’t want to listen. “Now I can’t sleep at night,” he says.

Mauda Twinomngisha wanted to send her three daughters to university. “I wanted them to have a better life than me and my husband had. It was for their future that we signed up,” she tells Lindberg.

But when the food disappeared, she had to take the girls out of school. All three have been married off as child brides, aged 14, 15, and 16.

Two years ago, Mauda decided to cut down the trees. “Then a woman from Ecotrust came here,” she tells Lindberg. The woman was very angry. She told Mauda to remove her bananas and plant trees. “But we had no choice,” Mauda says.

Wilson Akiiza and Violet Mbabaazi planted 600 trees on their three acres of land. “Now we have no food”, Wilson tells Lindberg. “Ecotrust never explained how much money I would get, only that it would come every year. Now I am the coordinator for 89 farmers who are part of the project. Nobody has food.”

Robert Sunday has also cut down all his Ecotrust “carbon trees” and made charcoal with them. With the money from the charcoal, he will buy cassava plants.

In the 10 years since he planted the trees, he received two payments, of about US$50 each.

He has only one acre, from which he used to feed 10 people. “Ecotrust must have understood that the family would never make it,” Lindberg writes. “Nevertheless, they were pushed to plant.”

Auditor: “Food security not an issue”

Aftonbladet’s research team visited nine farms in two districts, Hoima and Kikuube. All of them planted trees for Ecotrust on land that they previously used for growing crops. Hunger was the result.

One family received no money at all. All of the others received fewer payments than the contract promised. Ecotrust has not explained to any of them why the money has not been paid out.

None of the nine families has received enough money to cover the cost of food lost to the “carbon trees”.

None of the families could explain how carbon trading works, who bought the carbon credits, or how much money they should have received. Most of them did not receive a copy of the contract they signed.

Two of the families told Lindberg that they were forced to marry off underage daughters.

One eight of the farms, all or some of the trees have now been cut down to make way for food crops. The timber has been sold as charcoal.

Lindberg acknowledges that the Aftonbladet research is not comprehensive. Several thousand farmers are involved in the project, spread over a large area.

But David Kureeba, the lead author of Global Forest Coalition’s 2022 report about the project, tells Lindberg that the problem is widespread and systemic. “We are 45 million people crowded in Uganda,” Kureeba says, “and the vast majority are already living on the verge of starvation. They have no land to spare.”

The Global Forest Coalition report is based on interviews with more than 100 farmers. That report came out 18 months ago. “Since then the situation has worsened further,” Lindberg writes. “Why haven’t those responsible reacted?”

Under Plan Vivo’s rules, the project has to be inspected every six years. The most recent audit was in 2019, carried out by Environmental Services, Inc, a US-based company.

The lead verifier was Guy Pinjuv, who has since moved on to become Senior Advisor for Carbon and MRV (Measurement, Reporting, and Verification) at Conservation International.

A 2017 article describes Pinjuv’s US$600,000 house that he built in Nevada on a one acre plot of land that he bought for just US$150,000 in 2014. In the article, Pinjuv describes his work:

“If someone wants to slow down deforestation, I’m the guy who goes and checks to make sure they calculated everything correctly. And if there’s a tribe there, I’m the guy who goes and meets the chief and makes sure they’re not planning a revolution . . . that sort of stuff.”

The 2019 Environmental Services audit report states that, “In general food security does not appear to be an issue and project activities are maintaining or increasing food production.” There is no mention of the systemic hunger that, as Lindberg writes, “seems to be integrated into the core of the project”.

“Africa’s poor, who did the least to cause the climate crisis, will pay the price when we have to change,” Lindberg writes.

Lindberg highlights the inequity of the situation. “At Swedish hamburger restaurants, guests order from climate-neutral menus. In the hunger forest, the children wait in vain for food.”

Source: reddmonitor.substack.com

Continue Reading

MEDIA FOR CHANGE NETWORK

World Bank Changes: The office of the Accountability Mechanism Secretary is to be disbanded as the Inspection Panel, and the Dispute Resolution Service will operate independently.

Published

on

By Witness Radio team.

The World Bank’s Board of Executive Directors has approved changes to its Accountability Mechanism (AM) structure to enhance its independence and overall effectiveness, efficiency, and functioning.

The World Bank Accountability Mechanism is an independent complaints mechanism for people and communities that believe a World Bank-funded project has harmed them or is likely to be abused by one. It also houses the Inspection Panel and the Dispute Resolution Service.

This milestone, a response to the overwhelming complaints from cases handled by the World Bank’s Accountability Mechanism, including the failure to fully address concerns submitted by communities negatively impacted by World Bank-funded projects, brings hope for a more effective and responsive system.

The approved changes follow a comprehensive report by an external review team appointed by the World Bank Board last year. This thorough review explored options to improve the World Bank’s accountability process, instilling confidence in the changes made.

The report provided assessments and recommendations on issues related to accessibility to the compliance and DR functions; how the IPN can independently perform its compliance function under the present structure; options for structural changes; redundancies and efficiencies in the present AM system; and interactions between the DR and the compliance review functions, among others offering options that range from moderate to significant changes.

Based on the recommendations from the External Review Team report, the Inspection Panel (IP) and the Dispute Resolution Service (DRS) will operate as two parallel units, each independently reporting to the Board, and the Accountability Mechanism Secretary will be closed.

Additionally, a new position of Executive Secretary will be created to support both units and work under the direct supervision of the IP Chair and the Head of the DRS.

Initially, as per its founding mandate, the Inspection Panel responds to complaints from individuals affected by World Bank projects. If a Request for Inspection is deemed eligible and the Panel recommends an investigation, the Board approves. Within 30 business days of the investigation’s approval, the Accountability Mechanism Secretary will offer the Requesters and borrower the option of voluntary, independent dispute resolution. If both parties accept this offer, the Dispute Resolution Service will assist them in reaching an agreement to resolve the issues raised in the Request.

If either party declines dispute resolution or an agreement is not reached within the specified time frame, the case is transferred to the Inspection Panel. The Panel, a cornerstone of the World Bank’s accountability process since 1993, investigates to assess whether the Bank has adhered to its operational policies and procedures and to identify any harm caused.

The new Executive Secretary position will provide administrative, communication, and coordination services to the IP and the DRS. This role will ensure smooth operations and effective communication between the two units, the Board, and other stakeholders.

The World Bank has also stated that these changes will not impact current cases, and the Board will continue to explore further reforms to enhance overall accountability. The changes will be implemented following the Board’s adoption of amendments to the governing resolutions in the coming weeks.

The AM and DRS were created by the Board in 2020 to provide project-affected communities with the option of dispute resolution to address their concerns. Creating these units was a significant step towards enhancing the World Bank’s accountability and ensuring that affected communities have a voice in the project implementation process. The Inspection Panel, which carries out compliance reviews in response to complaints by affected people, was established in 1993 as the first independent accountability mechanism at an international financial institution.

Continue Reading

MEDIA FOR CHANGE NETWORK

Three-quarters of Earth’s land became permanently drier in last three decades: UN

Published

on

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia – Even as dramatic water-related disasters such as floods and storms intensified in some parts of the world, more than three-quarters of Earth’s land became permanently drier in recent decades, UN scientists warned today in a stark new analysis.

Some 77.6% of Earth’s land experienced drier conditions during the three decades leading up to 2020 compared to the previous 30-year period, according to the landmark report from the UN Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD).

Over the same period, drylands expanded by about 4.3 million km2 – an area nearly a third larger than India, the world’s 7th largest country – and now cover 40.6% of all land on Earth (excluding Antarctica).

In recent decades some 7.6% of global lands – an area larger than Canada – were pushed across aridity thresholds (i.e. from non-drylands to drylands, or from less arid dryland classes to more arid classes).

Most of these areas have transitioned from humid landscapes to drylands, with dire implications for agriculture, ecosystems, and the people living there.

And the research warns that, if the world fails to curb greenhouse gas emissions, another 3% of the world’s humid areas will become drylands by the end of this century.

In high greenhouse gas emissions scenarios, expanding drylands are forecast across the Midwestern United States, central Mexico, northern Venezuela, north-eastern Brazil, south-eastern Argentina, the entire Mediterranean Region, the Black Sea coast, large parts of southern Africa, and southern Australia.

The report, The Global Threat of Drying Lands: Regional and global aridity trends and future projections, was launched at the 16th conference of UNCCD’s nearly 200 Parties in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (COP16), the largest UN land conference to date, and the first UNCCD COP to be held in the Middle East, a region profoundly affected by impacts from aridity.

“This analysis finally dispels an uncertainty that has long surrounded global drying trends,” says Ibrahim Thiaw, UNCCD Executive Secretary. “For the first time, the aridity crisis has been documented with scientific clarity, revealing an existential threat affecting billions around the globe.”

“Unlike droughts—temporary periods of low rainfall—aridity represents a permanent, unrelenting transformation,” he adds. “Droughts end. When an area’s climate becomes drier, however, the ability to return to previous conditions is lost.  The drier climates now affecting vast lands across the globe will not return to how they were and this change is redefining life on Earth.”

The report by UNCCD Science-Policy Interface (SPI) — the UN body for assessing the science of land degradation and drought — points to human-caused climate change as the primary driver of this shift. Greenhouse gas emissions from electricity generation, transport, industry and land use changes warm the planet and other human activities warm the planet and affect rainfall, evaporation and plant life, creating the conditions that increase aridity.

Global aridity index (AI) data track these conditions and reveal widespread change over the decades.

Aridification hotspots

Areas particularly hard-hit by the drying trend include almost all of Europe (95.9% of its land), parts of the western United States, Brazil, parts of Asia (notably eastern Asia), and central Africa.

  • Parts of the Western United States and Brazil: Significant drying trends, with water scarcity and wildfires becoming perennial hazards.

  • Mediterranean and Southern Europe: Once considered agricultural breadbaskets, these areas face a stark future as semi-arid conditions expand.

  • Central Africa and parts of Asia: Biologically megadiverse areas are experiencing ecosystem degradation and desertification, endangering countless species.

By contrast, less than a quarter of the planet’s land (22.4%) experienced wetter conditions, with areas in the central United States, Angola’s Atlantic coast, and parts of Southeast Asia showing some gains in moisture.

The overarching trend, however, is clear: drylands are expanding, pushing ecosystems and societies to suffer from aridity’s life-threatening impacts.

The report names South Sudan and Tanzania as nations with the largest percentage of land transitioning to drylands, and China as the country experiencing the largest total area shifting from non-drylands into drylands.

For the 2.3 billion people – well over 25% of the world’s population – living in the expanding drylands, this new normal requires lasting, adaptive solutions. Aridity-related land degradation, known as desertification, represents a dire threat to human well-being and ecological stability.

And as the planet continues to warm, report projections in the worst-case scenario suggest up to 5 billion people could live in drylands by the century’s end, grappling with depleted soils, dwindling water resources, and the diminishment or collapse of once-thriving ecosystems.

Forced migration is one of aridity’s most visible consequences. As land becomes uninhabitable, families and entire communities facing water scarcity and agricultural collapse often have no choice but to abandon their homes, leading to social and political challenges worldwide. From the Middle East to Africa and South Asia, millions are already on the move—a trend set to intensify in coming decades.

Aridity’s devastating impact

The effects of rising aridity are cascading and multifaceted, touching nearly every aspect of life and society, the report says.

It warns that one fifth of all land could experience abrupt ecosystem transformations from rising aridity by the end of the century, causing dramatic shifts (such as forests becoming grasslands and other changes) and leading to extinctions among many of the world’s plants, animals and other life.

  • Aridity is considered the world’s largest single driver behind the degradation of agricultural systems, affecting 40% of Earth’s arable lands

  • Rising aridity has been blamed for a 12% decline in gross domestic product (GDP) recorded for African countries between 1990–2015

  • More than two thirds of all land on the planet (excluding Greenland and Antarctica) is projected to store less water by the end of the century, if greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise even modestly

  • Aridity is considered one of the world’s five most important causes of land degradation (along with land erosion, salinization, organic carbon loss and vegetation degradation)

  • Rising aridity in the Middle East has been linked to the region’s more frequent and larger sand and dust storms

  • Increasing aridity is expected to play a role in larger and more intense wildfires in the climate-altered future—not least because of its impacts on tree deaths in semi-arid forests and the consequent growing availability of dry biomass for burning

  • Rising aridity’s impacts on poverty, water scarcity, land degradation and insufficient food production have been linked to increasing rates of sickness and death globally —especially among children and women

  • Rising aridity and drought play a key role in increasing human migration around the world—particularly in the hyper-arid and arid areas of southern Europe, the Middle East and North Africa and southern Asia.

Report marks a turning point

For years, documenting the rise of aridity proved a challenge, the report states. Its long-term nature and the intricate interplay of factors such as rainfall, evaporation, and plant transpiration made analysis difficult. Early studies produced conflicting results, often muddied by scientific caution.

The new report marks a turning point, leveraging advanced climate models and standardized methodologies to deliver a definitive assessment of global drying trends, confirming the inexorable rise of aridity, while providing critical insights into its underlying drivers and potential future trajectory.

Recommendations

The report offers a comprehensive roadmap for tackling aridity, emphasizing both mitigation and adaptation. Among its recommendations:

  • Strengthen aridity monitoring
    Integrate aridity metrics into existing drought monitoring systems. This approach would enable early detection of changes and help guide interventions before conditions worsen. Platforms like the new Aridity Visual Information Tool provide policymakers and researchers with valuable data, allowing for early warnings and timely interventions. Standardized assessments can enhance global cooperation and inform local adaptation strategies.

  • Improve land use practices
    Incentivizing sustainable land use systems can mitigate the impacts of rising aridity, particularly in vulnerable regions. Innovative, holistic, sustainable approaches to land management are the focus of another new UNCCD SPI report, Sustainable Land Use Systems: The path to collectively achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, available at https://bit.ly/3ZwkLZ3. It considers how land-use at one location affect others elsewhere, makes resilience to climate change or other shocks a priority, and encourages participation and buy-in by Indigenous and local communities as well as all levels of government. Projects like the Great Green Wall—a land restoration initiative spanning Africa—demonstrate the potential for large-scale, holistic efforts to combat aridity and restore ecosystems, while creating jobs and stabilizing economies.

  • Invest in water efficiency
    Technologies such as rainwater harvesting, drip irrigation, and wastewater recycling offer practical solutions for managing scarce water resources in dry regions.

  • Build resilience in vulnerable communities
    Local knowledge, capacity building, social justice and holistic thinking  are vital to resilience. Sustainable land use systems encourage decision makers to apply responsible governance, protect human rights (including secure land access) and ensure accountability and transparency. Capacity-building programmes, financial support, education programmes, climate information services and community-driven initiatives empower those most affected by aridity to adapt to changing conditions. Farmers switching to drought-resistant crops or pastoralists adopting more arid-tolerant livestock exemplify incremental adaptation.

  • Develop international frameworks and cooperation
    The UNCCD’s Land Degradation Neutrality framework provides a model for aligning national policies with international goals, ensuring a unified response to the crisis. National Adaptation Plans must incorporate aridity alongside drought planning to create cohesive strategies that address water and land management challenges. Cross-sectoral collaboration at the global level, facilitated by frameworks like the UNCCD, is essential for scaling solutions.

Comments

“For decades, the world’s scientists have signalled that our growing greenhouse gas emissions are behind global warming. Now, for the first time, a UN scientific body is warning that burning fossil fuels is causing permanent drying across much of the world, too—with potentially catastrophic impacts affecting access to water that could push people and nature even closer to disastrous tipping points.  As large tracts of the world’s land become more arid, the consequences of inaction grow increasingly dire and adaptation is no longer optional—it is imperative.” – UNCCD Chief Scientist Barron Orr

“Without concerted efforts, billions face a future marked by hunger, displacement, and economic decline. Yet, by embracing innovative solutions and fostering global solidarity, humanity can rise to meet this challenge. The question is not whether we have the tools to respond—it is whether we have the will to act.” –  Nichole Barger, Chair, UNCCD Science-Policy Interface

“The report’s clarity is a wake-up call for policymakers: tackling aridity demands more than just science—it requires a diversity of perspectives and knowledge systems. By weaving Indigenous and local knowledge with cutting-edge data, we can craft stronger, smarter strategies to slow aridity’s advance, mitigate its impacts and thrive in a drying world.– Sergio Vicente-Serrano, co-lead author of the report and an aridity expert with Spain’s Pyrenean Institute of Ecology

“This report underscores the critical need to address aridity as a defining global challenge of our time. By uniting diverse expertise and leveraging breakthrough technologies, we are not just measuring change—we are crafting a roadmap for resilience. Tackling aridity demands a collaborative vision that integrates innovation, adaptive solutions, and a commitment to securing a sustainable future for all.” – Narcisa Pricope, co-lead author, professor of geosciences and associate vice president for research at Mississippi State University, USA.

“The timeliness of this report cannot be overstated.  Rising aridity will reshape the global landscape, challenging traditional ways of life and forcing societies to reimagine their relationship with land and water.  As with climate change and biodiversity loss, addressing aridity requires coordinated international action and an unwavering commitment to sustainable development.” – Andrea Toreti, co-lead author and senior scientist, European Commission’s Joint Research Centre

By the Numbers: 

Key global trends / projections

  • 77.6%: Proportion of Earth’s land that experienced drier climates from 1990–2020 compared to the previous 30 years.

  • 40.6%: Global land mass (excluding Antarctica) classified as drylands, up from 37.5% over the last 30 years.

  • 4.3 million km²: Humid lands transformed into drylands in the last three decades, an area one-third larger than India

  • 40%: Global arable land affected by aridity—the leading driver of agricultural degradation.

  • 30.9%: Global population living in drylands in 2020, up from 22.5% in 1990

  • 2.3 billion: People living in drylands in 2020, a doubling from 1990, projected to more than double again by 2100 under a worst-case climate change scenario.

  • 1.35 billion: Dryland inhabitants in Asia—more than half the global total.

  • 620 million: Dryland inhabitants in Africa—nearly half of the continent’s population.

  • 9.1%: Portion of Earth’s land classified as hyperarid, including the Atacama (Chile), Sahara (Africa), Namib (Africa), and Gobi (China/Mongolia) deserts.

  • 23%: Increase in global land at “moderate” to “very high” desertification risk by 2100 under the worst-case emissions scenario

    • +8% at “very high” risk

    • +5% at “high” risk

    • +10% at “moderate” risk

Environmental degradation

  • 5: Key drivers of land degradation: Rising aridity, land erosion, salinization, organic carbon loss, and vegetation degradation

  • 20%: Global land at risk of abrupt ecosystem transformations by 2100 due to rising aridity

  • 55%: Species (mammals, reptiles, fish, amphibians, and birds) at risk of habitat loss from aridity. Hotspots: (Arid regions): West Africa, Western Australia, Iberian Peninsula; (Humid regions): Southern Mexico, northern Amazon rainforest

Economics

  • 12%: African GDP decline attributed to aridity, 1990–2015

  • 16% / 6.7%: Projected GDP losses in Africa / Asia by 2079 under a moderate emissions scenario

  • 20M tons maize, 21M tons wheat, 19M tons rice: Expected losses in global crop yields by 2040 due to expanding aridity

  • 50%: Projected drop in maize yields in Kenya by 2050 under a high emissions scenario

Water 

  • 90%: Rainfall in drylands that evaporates back into the atmosphere, leaving 10% for plant growth

  • 67%: Global land expected to store less water by 2100, even under moderate emission scenarios

  • 75%: Decline in water availability in the Middle East and North Africa since the 1950s

  • 40%: Predicted Andean runoff decline by 2100 under a high emissions scenario, threatening water supplies in South America

Health

  • 55%: Increase in severe child stunting in sub-Saharan Africa under a medium emissions scenario due to combined effects of aridity and climate warming

  • Up to 12.5%: Estimated rise in mortality risks during sand and dust storms in China, 2013–2018

  • 57% / 38%: Increases in fine and coarse atmospheric dust levels, respectively, in the southwestern U.S. by 2100 under worst case climate scenarios

  • 220%: Projected increase in premature deaths due to airborne dust in the southwestern United States by 2100 under the high-emissions scenario

  • 160%: Expected rise in hospitalizations linked to airborne dust in the same region

Wildfires and forests

  • 74%: Expected increase in wildfire-burned areas in California by 2100 under high emission scenarios

  • 40: Additional annual high fire danger days in Greece by 2100 compared to late 20th century levels

Notes to editors:

Aridity versus drought

Highly arid regions are places in which a persistent, long-term climatic condition lacks available moisture to support most forms of life and atmospheric evaporative demand significantly exceeds rainfall.

Drought, on the other hand, is an anomalous, shorter-term period of water shortage affecting ecosystems and people and often attributed to low precipitation, high temperatures, low air humidity and/or anomalies in wind.

While drought is part of natural climate variability and can occur in almost any climatic regime, aridity is a stable condition for which changes occur over extremely long-time scales under significant forcing.

Media contacts: press@unccd.int

Fragkiska Megaloudi, +30 6945547877 (WhatsApp) fmegaloudi@unccd.int

Gloria Pallares, +34 606 93 1460 gpallares@unccd.int

Terry Collins, +1-416-878-8712 tc@tca.tc

Authors and other experts are available for advance interviews.

The full report, The Global Threat of Drying Lands: Regional and global aridity trends and future projections, is available for media preview at https://www.unccd.int/resources/reports/global-threat-drying-lands-regional-and-global-aridity-trends-and-future

Source: UN Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD).

Continue Reading

MEDIA FOR CHANGE NETWORK

Here’s what was agreed at COP16 to combat global desertification

Published

on

20,000 delegates attended COP16 in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia — three times the number of the previous UNCCD COP. Image: REUTERS/Zohra Bensemra.

  • 40% of the world’s agricultural land is already damaged and more than three-quarters of land is experiencing dryer conditions.
  • COP16 in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, aimed to mobilize collaboration to combat desertification.
  • Here’s what you need to know about what was agreed at COP16.

Against the backdrop of a deepening environmental crisis, the 16th Conference of the Parties (COP16) under the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD) convened in Riyadh in December with a critical mission: to address the escalating threats of land degradation and drought.

With 40% of the world’s agricultural land already damaged and more than three-quarters of land experiencing dryer conditions, the stakes have never been higher. The conference emphasized the urgent need for innovation, investment and collaboration to restore land, safeguard food and water security, tackle climate change and combat biodiversity loss.

The 20,000 delegates at COP16 — three times the number of the previous UNCCD COP — carried a powerful message: restoring land is achievable, but requires scalable and equitable solutions, supported by partnerships across sectors.

Land degradation and the cost of inaction

As emphasized in a Forum CEO Discussion Brief published for COP16, land sits at the heart of the intertwined crises of biodiversity loss and climate change. Misuse and unsustainable management of land threaten the supply of critical ecosystem services, deepen food and water insecurity and exacerbate vulnerabilities in global supply chains. Coupled with water scarcity, rising temperatures and population growth, degraded landscapes now endanger the livelihoods of billions across the planet.

Both the challenges and opportunities are significant: a 2011 study found that restoring 150 million hectares of degraded land could yield as much as $85 billion in economic benefits and uplift 200 million people. Yet only 4% of global climate finance targets sectors like agriculture and forestry, even though these areas are pivotal to land restoration. The estimated need? Roughly $300 billion annually to meet 2030 sustainability goals.

During COP16, the more than 400 private sector delegates and other multistakeholder actors identified blended finance, cutting-edge tools and integrated planning frameworks as key solutions. The World Economic Forum’s white paper, Food and Water Systems in the Intelligent Age, served as a key resource, highlighting the interconnectedness of food and water systems in reversing degradation and addressing scarcity.

A corporate call to action

COP16 underscored the private sector’s pivotal role in reversing degradation. A key highlight was the launch of the Business 4 Land (B4L) Call to Action, which encourages companies to incorporate sustainable practices into their core operations. The World Economic Forum and UNCCD also introduced a tool — the Land Degradation Neutrality: Strategic Intelligence Map — designed to guide businesses in evaluating risks and opportunities related to ecosystems. This resource empowers corporations to align their operations with global land restoration goals, while mitigating supply chain risks and accelerating biodiversity protection.

Prominent examples of corporate leadership emerged at COP16. OCP Group, for instance, has collaborated with four million African farmers to map more than 50 million hectares of degraded land and promote regenerative agriculture. By committing to 5GW of clean energy production by 2027, the company showcased its alignment with global restoration initiatives.

A critical breakthrough at COP16 was the spotlight on innovative financing mechanisms. Philippe Zaouati, CEO of Mirova, showcased the success of the €200 million Land Degradation Neutrality Fund (LDN Fund). By leveraging blended finance — public-private investments — the LDN Fund has successfully restored degraded landscapes in Africa, Asia and Latin America. These combined funds magnify impact, demonstrating that restoration can deliver measurable environmental and economic outcomes. The momentum from this success is now fuelling the launch of SLF II, which aims to raise €300–400 million to drive biodiversity and carbon credit markets.

Nevertheless, balancing corporate ambitions with equity remains crucial. Ismahane Elouafi of CGIAR warned that excluding smallholder farmers — key providers of the world’s food— may perpetuate inequities, while Hindou Oumarou Ibrahim, President, Association for Fulani Women and Indigenous Peoples of Chad emphasized the importance of empowering Indigenous Peoples and local communities to be the drivers of their own destiny. For restoration projects to succeed, mechanisms like carbon markets must address these inequalities, ensuring benefits reach the most vulnerable communities and that smallholder farmers, who are on the frontlines of degradation, are properly compensated and supported by climate innovations.

Innovation at the heart of land restoration

Advanced technology emerged as a cornerstone of the fight against desertification and land degradation. Monitoring, reporting and verification (MRV) systems stood out as indispensable tools for scaling restoration. Platforms like those developed by Forested have given local communities control over tracking their own environmental impact, promoting transparency and stakeholder buy-in. By doing so, these systems provide the foundation for environmental credit markets, including carbon and biodiversity credits.

This approach reverberated in discussions where urban leaders explored how nature positive cities can combat degradation, including spotlighting leading examples, such as the Durban lighthouse report. Initiatives like integrating restoration into urban planning and supporting local food systems demonstrated the role cities play as testing grounds for scalable, nature-positive solutions. Innovative funding and planning efforts can enhance urban resilience while also addressing global challenges.

Voluntary Carbon Markets (VCMs) were another focal point at COP16. A recent World Economic Forum study on Africa’s Great Green Wall illustrated how VCMs could support the African Union-led Great Green Wall initiative to transform the Sahel region by restoring 100 million hectares of degraded land, which received an additional €14.6 million in funding at COP16. VCM projects could provide green jobs and generate up to 1.8 billion tons of carbon storage, underscoring the potential of well-regulated markets to bring financial and environmental benefits.

Regenerative agriculture will play a pivotal role in land restoration, offering solutions that align with UNCCD’s goal of restoring 1.5 billion hectares of degraded land by 2030, with 250 million hectares identified for regenerative agriculture. In fact, revitalizing just 150 million hectares could generate $85 billion in economic benefits, including $30–40 billion directly benefiting smallholder farmers and enhancing food security for nearly 200 million people. Preventing topsoil loss, which could cost up to $2 trillion in Africa alone over the next 15 years, is critical; effective restoration could instead yield $1 trillion in global benefits by protecting soil, water resources and ecosystems while building resilience to climate pressures. A key outcome at COP16 was the $70 million committed to advance the Vision for Adapted Crops and Soils (VACS).

Bridging the climate and nature agendas

COP16 also laid the groundwork for increased global collaboration. The Riyadh Global Drought Resilience Partnership attracted more than $12 billion in funding for drought resilience of 80 of the world’s least developed countries. It is mobilizing nations, businesses and communities to tackle drought-prone areas with local, innovative solutions.

Another key development was the launch of the Rio Trio Initiative, which bridges efforts among the UNCCD, the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD). Starting at New York Climate Week and culminating in the high-level opening ceremony of UNCCD COP16 Land Day, the three conventions began to align their goals of reversing land degradation, mitigating biodiversity loss and combating climate change.

The session on this collaboration highlighted the 1t.org China initiative, which strengthened trilateral partnerships between Geneva, Riyadh and Beijing. China’s scientific greening achievements, alongside Saudi Arabia’s bold Saudi Green Initiative, offer complementary strategies to advance nature restoration on a global scale.

The road ahead: Bold action, shared responsibility

COP16’s outcomes were not merely theoretical — they provided actionable takeaways. Increasing private investments to close the $2.1 trillion restoration funding gap and scaling partnerships like the Global EverGreening Alliance’s Harmonisation Approach Initiative and OCP’s carbon farming projects are urgent tasks.

But the conference also delivered a legacy in the Riyadh Action Agenda. This forward-looking framework under the COP16 presidency prioritizes innovation, equity and cross-sector collaboration. By tying sustainability goals to real-world action, the Riyadh Action Agenda offers a playbook for achieving land restoration, drought resilience and food security on a global scale.

The Rio Trio Initiative further strengthens this vision, linking the three Rio Conventions to unify efforts toward reversing environmental degradation. Together, the Riyadh Action Agenda and Rio Trio Initiative symbolize a step-change in the global approach to sustainability — a commitment to scaling systemic solutions to address the climate and nature polycrisis through innovation, partnerships and equality.

As delegates departed Riyadh, they left behind blueprints for solutions. Now, the challenge will be turning these frameworks into transformative action. The UNCCD COP16 has set the stage for a future in which land restoration and resilience-building anchor the global sustainability agenda.

Source: World Economic Forum

Continue Reading

Resource Center

Legal Framework

READ BY CATEGORY

Facebook

Newsletter

Subscribe to Witness Radio's newsletter



Trending

Subscribe to Witness Radio's newsletter